Bill Simmons loves the Colts' upgrades at quarterback and head coach, thinks they have a shot at a wild card spot in the playoffs, and has them down for a Week One upset against the Bears:
As for the QB position, I don't need to explain the formula "Andrew Luck > Curtis Painter & Dan Orlovsky" to you, right? If you've been following Luck's performance in the preseason — not just his play, but everybody's quotes about how Luck handles himself day-to-day — there's a chance he might be underrated even though he was the no. 1 overall pick, generated a ton of buzz/hype/anticipation last year and bought Andre the Giant's voice on eBay just to sound more intimidating. Last year, we had a ginger rookie playoff QB. Why not Luck? How many wins will that Paintlovsky-to-Luck upgrade be worth? Three? Four? More? Could the Colts climb to 10 wins? Could they sneak into the last wild-card spot?
This is the same guy who said that the Colts wouldv'e been about 8-8 with Peyton last year, and didn't believe the idea that Peyton was worth more than about six wins to the Colts. Now, Luck is worth potentially 7 (he predicts them at 9-7 and the 6 seed).
I'm scared that people are starting to like the Colts a little too much. I still think this is a 6-10 team, with a chance of going 7-9, 8-8 and a chance of going 5-11 or 4-12.
@dmstorm22 The expectations of the media and the fans is fun to talk about, but I highly doubt this sort of thing trickles down to the players, they have way too much to think about. The Colts will be what they will be, prognostication is entertainment, nothing else.
@dmstorm22 His fear of Peyton F. Manning is stunning.
@Casey Hart You got it!