2010 Mock Draft

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

18to88 has been mocking the draft for three years now, and our track record has been stellar. But we've grown weary with our old fun and games.  It's time to get serious.  No more kid's stuff for us.  Without further delay, our 2010 mock draft.

Player Position School
1.  St. Louis Rams George Washington QB University of Washington The Rams have needed a quarterback ever since Kurt Warner left several years ago.  Honestly, there is no better field general in the draft than Washington.  His startling underdog victories have set the state for his ascendancy.  He's a real can't miss prospect.
2.  Detroit Lions Ronald Reagan DT Eureka College The Lions are concerned with defense and Regan brings the big lumber in that regard.  His style of defense is certainly explosive. There are concerns in some circles that he could be expensive, but there's no question that he won't back down and packs a wallop.
3.  Tampa Bay Bucs James Madison DT Princeton Madison isn't as explosive as Regan, but his work at repelling the British hasn't gone unnoticed.  He has a strong family support structure, but there are weight concerns. Rumor has it he's too big a fan of snack cakes.
4.  Washington Redskins US Grant QB West Point Even though the Skins just traded for McNabb, some think they are still in the market for a quarterback.  Grant has an impressive resume, but many question whether his talents will translate to the next level.  Todd McShay has already condemned the pick for having too much baggage.
5.  Kansas City Chiefs Jimmy Carter S Georgia Tech Chiefs fans have been in a malaise for years now, and while Carter is not the sexist pick for the troubled franchise, he certainly is attractive for anytime wanting a safety.
6.  Seattle Seahawks James Buchanan
OT Dickenson College
Despite more talented players still on the board, the Seahwaks are desperate to draft for need.  They need a solid lineman, and no one is more obstructionist than Buchanan.  You can be sure that little progress will be made by the defensive line with Buchanan manning the post.
7.  Cleveland Browns Abraham Lincoln WR Illinois Mike Holmgren is delighted as his former team whiffs on their pick, leaving him the lanky flanker from the heartland.  After dealing Braylon Edwards, the Browns receiving corp is thin, but Lincoln's impressive wing span and Moss like height make him too attractive to pass up.  Holmgren was quoted as saying, "Lincoln might be the best player in the draft".
8.  Oakland Raiders Dan Quayle WR DePauw Al Davis loves his measurables, but most analysts are left scratching their heads after this pick.  Despite an attractive profile, Quayle was taken off the board by most teams once he posted a Wonderlic score of 3.  When the pick is announced, Mel Kiper briefly loses consciousness after bashing his head against a table.  When he finally comes to, he calls the pick, "a bit of a reach".
9. Buffalo Bills Dwight Eisenhower
QB Texas The Bills desperately want a QB, and the signal caller from Texas certainly has a rich undergrad record, full of victories.  While projected to be a solid pro, he might lack the aggressiveness to take the team to the next level.  He's a bit of a system quarterback, and might be content to just ride out his time in the saddle.
10.  Jacksonville Jaguars Bill Clinton LB Arkansas The biggest enigma in the draft, the Jaguars finally settle on the hard hitting linebacker from Arkansas.  Clinton is a talented player, but his considerable off the field issues might be enough to undo him.  Coach Jack Del Rio, himself a former linebacker, said, "Matt Jones had really great things to say about Clinton.  He vouched for his character."
11. Denver Broncos Tomas Jefferson
WR University of Virginia

Jefferson is one of the great talents in the draft.  He has a variety of skills and could play multiple positions.  He does carry some tawdry off the field baggage, however, that has caused him to slip to the Broncos at 11.  The Saints hoped to trade up for him, but ultimately the Louisiana team couldn't make the purchase.

12. Miami Dolphins Lyndon Johnson DT South West Texas State The Dolphins want to continue their resurgence by building their line.  LBJ has a solid track resume in defense.  He's a load in the middle and is known for being cantankerous. He prefers playing on the left side and loves to pressure the opposition.
13. San Francisco 49ers John F. Kennedy RB Harvard Kennedy is perhaps the most dynamic talent in the draft, but many teams question his durability, citing injury concerns as a reason to pass on the talented sophomore who declared early for the draft.  Kennedy has an amazing jump cut move in which he steps back and to the right before proceeding through the hole.
14. Seattle Seahawks Harry S. Truman DE Missouri The Seahawks are looking for a quick strike end with explosive power and believe that Truman is just the player they need.  He spent most of his career as a backup, but was thrust into the starting lineup his Senior year, and immediately delivered a bang as he lead the Tigers to a pair of big victories.  You can never count Truman out, but one big question is signability.  Pete Carroll has to negotiate two first round contracts, and insiders say that he commented, "The bucks stop with Truman."
15. New York Giants Woodrow Wilson G University of Virginia The Giants are looking to upgrade the offensive line, and are said to be quite high on Wilson, a quick guard out of UVA.  Wilson is a good pocket protector, but may like the kind of fighting instinct necessary in a tough lineman.  Still, he showed the ability jump into the scrum when forced.  He'll be a good addition to the League of National Football.
16.  Tennessee Titans Zachary Taylor DE Louisville The Titans have lost a lot of beef on the line in the last couple of years, and Taylor is just the guy they need to bring the head on opposing field generals.  He was a bit of a project at Louisville, having never played high school ball, but was a team leader, and his big sacks against the University of Saint Annes caught the attention of pro scouts.  His performance at the Sugar Bowl in New Orleans  was excellent as well.
17. San Fransisco 49ers Barack Obama OT Occidental College San Fransisco is a perfect fit for Obama.  The Niners need change on their offensive line, and Obama definitely gets good push, seemingly with disregard for his opposition.  Critics say that his offenses generated more yards than points, but Obama supporters in the scouting world figure that any progress is important. When asked what side Obama might play, Mike Singletary said, "Left.  Definitely the left."
18. Pittsburgh Steelers Rutherford B. Hayes CB Kenyon College The Steelers have been rocked by scandal in recent months, and Hayes is exactly the kind of upright locker room guy they've been looking for.  Hayes wormed his way into the starting lineup, picking off passes intended for other receivers.  He is already married won't be visiting any bars.  The one strike against him is that he is not popular with black teammates who accuse him of running out on them during a fight with Florida State.
19. Atlanta Falcons Theodore Roosevelt DE Harvard Without question, Roosevelt is the steal of the draft.  Health and size concerns led to him plummeting to the bottom half of the first round, but the fiery end packs a serious punch.  He emerged as an injury replacement in his freshman year and had a stranglehold on the position ever since.  Roosevelt is known for his hard charging style and bull rush move.
20.  Houston Texans Franklin Delano Roosevelt RB Harvard The Texans surprise everyone with the selection of Roosevelt.  Some scouts question his durability, but others think he'll play in the league for a long long time.  Gary Kubiak said simply, "We can't pass on Roosevelt.  The man has serious wheels."
21. Cincinnati Bengals Herbert Hoover TE Stanford Bengals owner Mike Brown loves cheap players and Hoover should be signable.  A first round reach, he lacks downfield skill and doesn't have great field vision when running with the ball.  He is a competent blocker and knows how to impede the progress of the rush.  Bengals fans are excited about the selection and have put up signs around Cincinnati that say, "Welcome to Hooverville!"
22. New England Patriots Richard Nixon LB Duke Nixon is a perfect fit with the Patriots.  He is highly accomplished, but has had skirmishes with the law and is generally reviled as being a dirty player.  Bill Belichick loves his instincts and is certain he can channel Nixon's aggression in the right directions. "When I look at Nixon, I see a lot of myself," said Belichick.
23.  Green Bay Packers William Henry Harrison OT Penn Harrison had an exemplary undergrad career, and the Packers are excited about his future.  Perhaps the most impressive part about the player, who is older than most first round picks, is that he was willing to stand at the podium and address the media for well over an hour.  "I anticipate him having a long, long career with the Packers," said GM Ted Thompson.
24.  Philadelphia Eagles Grover Cleveland CB Clinton Academy The Eagles are looking for flexibility in their secondary and think that Cleveland could be just the guy to fill the role.  He's been described as so fast that, "you don't know whether he's coming or going".  He was up for the Jim Thorpe award, but lost in a controversial vote.  No one is sure if the Eagles can sign him though.  He's vetoed several contract offers already.
25.  Baltimore Ravens William Howard Taft DT Yale If you are looking for someone to clog the middle, the mammoth DT out of Yale is just your guy.  He's a classic 3-4 NT, able to occupy a lot of space and blockers.  Surprisingly, Ravens scouts had little to say about his college career but picked him anyway because, "Just look at the size of him!"
26.  Arizona Cardinals John Adams LB Harvard Adams is a bit undersized but plays with a chip on his shoulder.  He was accomplished in college, but never reveled in his accomplishments.  Seriously undervalued by most scouts, Adams has the talent to play in the big leagues, but the only question is to his temperament.  He is the kind of player who won't be happy learning in a backup role.  If he isn't in the starting lineup, he could become a locker room problem.
27.  Dallas Cowboys George W. Bush CB Yale Bush is a controversial pick, and most scouts either love him or hate him.  He is very highly thought of by the Texas teams, however.  He was quite popular with teammates and loves to jump routes.  He struggles to stay disciplined in the parameters of a normal defense, but for a team that values his aggressiveness, that's not a problem.
28.  San Diego Chargers James K Polk DT North Carolina Polk has slipped below the radar of most drafts, but he's a real sleeper for the Chargers.  There are questions as to his drive, but no one can argue with his accomplishments.  He forced runners right or left, because he clogged up the middle. He wore number 54 in college, but expected to switch to 49 in the NFL.
29.  New York Jets Calvin Coolidge S Amherst The Jets have a strong secondary, but they need someone who can limit the size of big plays.  Coolidge is their man.  Some scouts have said he is quiet on the field, but Cal got the rest of his team off to a roaring start.  The Jets have to hope he can hold down the position, because should he leave the field, everything could crash.
30. Minnesota Vikings William McKinley C Allegheney College A real mountain of a man, McKinley is the gold standard of college centers.  Some scouts have called him an injury risk, but his college coach gave him a strong endorsement.  "Will was the center piece of our offense really.  Without him on the field, it would have been anarchy!"
31. Indianapolis Colts Ndamukong Suh DT Nebraska Colts GM Bill Polian can't believe his luck when Suh plummets to the end of the first round.  "To be honest, I'm amazed we landed him.  It's surprising that he fell this far, especially considering that most of the guys taken ahead of him are quite old and...well, dead."
32. New Orleans Saints George HW Bush DE Yale Bush is a solid, if unspectacular defensive end.  Sean Payton was positive when discussing Bush. "He's the kind of guy who can help us.  He's not an elite talent, but at the end of the first round you take what you can get.  I'll burn in hell before I take that son of a bitch Franklin Pierce for my team.  I'll tell you that right now."

 

 

Why Terry Bradshaw was such a terrible choice

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

Yesterday, ESPN caused some consternation by declaring Terry Bradshaw to be the best first round choice at quarterback.  The reaction was swift and immediate.  Today I want to add some teeth the claim that Bradshaw is among the most overrated players of all time.

Everyone knows that Bradshaw's career numbers are pedestrian.  His career passer rating is 70.  He threw 212 TDs to 210 picks. His YPA is 7.2 is just pretty good, but is lower than that of dink and dunk master Tom Brady, though I suppose that it's a bit lower because he completed just 51.9% of his passes.

The argument is that Bradshaw has four Super Bowl rings.  He must have been a major cog in those Super Bowl teams, right?  Not so much.

1974

The Steelers won their first Super Bowl.  Bradshaw was a train wreck.  He was 5-2 as a starter, with 7 TDs and 8 picks.  His rating was 55.  He threw for less than 1,000 yards on the season.  In the final two games of the playoffs, his COMBINED numbers were:

17/31, 191 yards, 2 TD, 1 pick.

Again, those were two game numbers. Awful.  But hey, they won the Super Bowl and he was the quarterback.  He must be a legend.

1975

Bradshaw rebounded in '75 with a nice year...for him.  He racked up 2055 yards, completed 57.5% of his passes, 18 TDs, 9 picks and a rating of 88.  It was a nice Brady-esque year.

In the playoffs, however, Bradshaw was awful.

32-57, 529 yards, 3 TDs, 5 INTs, 68.5 rating

Again, these are THREE game totals.  The Steelers won all three games and were world champions.  Amazing.

1978

This was one of Bradshaw's finest years!  He led the NFL with 28 touchdows. He was voted MVP!  He also threw 20 picks, had a rating of 84.7 and threw for fewer than 3000 yards on the season.  He also played with the best scoring defense in football.

Bradshaw had a great Super Bowl, throwing four TDs and 1 pick.   He was voted Super Bowl MVP.

1979

Bradshaw single handedly led the Steelers to their fourth title by throwing a league high 25 interceptions (against 26 TDs).  In the Super Bowl, Bradshaw threw three interceptions, but the Steelers won anyway, 31-19.

Listen, anyone who wants to worship at the alter of rings is welcome to.  They are just going to have to accept that Terry Bradshaw is one of the five best quarterbacks of all time.  If you can live with that, have at it.

The ESPN discussion eliminated Elway (he didn't play for the team that drafted him), settling on Bradshaw over Manning, Kelly, Marino, and Aikman.

The logic...the rings.

Insane.

A Decade of Drafting-Conclusions

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

Note:  You can find the entire Decade of Drafting series complied here.  It will also appear in the side bar.

The conclusions for a Decade of Drafting are summarized in the chart below.  As you can see, the Colts grade out highest, producing more games played, more starters and a stunning 90% of all Indianapolis draft picks make the team.  This is consistent with Bill Polian's philosophy of 'singles' drafting.  He wants to avoid the big mistake.  The Patriots had the highest number of Pro Bowls per draft, thanks in part to Tom Brady.  The Patriots also had a terrible run, finishing fifth each year from 2006-2008.  The Steelers got a boost by taking Ben Roethlisberger, while the Ravens were punished for taking Kyle Boller.  Below the chart is a year by year break down of each draft.  The Colts and Eagles had 82 picks each.  The Ravens had 81.  The Steelers 75.  The Patriots had 89 picks in the decade.

Average draft position GPA Ave Rank Games per Draft
% made team Starters/draft Pro Bowls/draft
Colts 25.9 3.34 2.2 266.5 90.2 4.0 1.8
Patriots 22.7 2.90 3.3 239 66.3 2.5 2.3
Steelers 20.9 3.00 2.9 233.8 68.0 2.5 1.6
Ravens 20.7 2.93 3.1 269.1 77.8 3.3 1.9
Eagles 19.4 2.50 3.4 208.9 70.7 2.8 1.3

As you can see, the Colts have consistently drafted better than even the best drafting teams in football.  They get more production out of their drafts than the other teams, despite consistently drafting near the bottom of the first round.

A Decade of Drafting-2009

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

Well, this is it.  The final edition of "A Decade of Drafting".  Tomorrow, I'll post a compiled edition complete with stats and analysis of what to make out of the decade.

Due to popular request, I'm expanding my look at the Colts' drafts to include some other teams.  Each day, we'll look how the Colts, Steelers, Patriots, Eagles and Ravens drafted this decade.  We'll start with the year 2000.  I'm ranking the teams based on this criteria:  would you trade one entire draft for another?  The team whose draft you would definitely trade the others for gets top billing.

Indy gets top marks in 2009 despite little production from their top two picks.  Powers, Collie, and McAfee were as good as any three rookies in the league last year.  If Brown or Moala become consistent players, 2009 will go down as a banner draft for Bill Polian and company.

2009

1. Colts

Total picks: 8

Made team: 6

Total Games Played: 62

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick:  Pat McAfee

Starters drafted: Jerraud Powers, Pat McAfee

Summary and Grade:  A.  It's way to early to effectively grade this draft, but considering the major role that Powers, Collie, McAfee had on a team that went to the Super Bowl, it's hard to argue that the 2009 was anything other than a success.  The Colts still have gotten very little from Brown and Moala, but that doesn't mean that both guys won't end up being good players.  All in all, the pick of McAfee alone gave this team a big lift in kickoff coverage.

2. Eagles

Total picks: 8

Made team: 5

Total Games Played: 63

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick: Jeremy Maclin

Starters drafted: Jeremy Maclin, Victor Harris

Summary and Grade: A- The Eagles got good production out of Maclin and LeSean McCoy in their rookie years.  They only have four players from this draft still with the team, but three of them are likely to be starters next year.

3.  Patriots

Total picks: 12

Made team: 8

Total Games Played: 95

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick:  Julian Edleman

Starters drafted: Sebastian Vollmer

Summary and Grade:  B+ It's too early to tell if the Pats got any real stars out of this draft, but they think a lot of Vollmer, and Edleman will get his chance to be Wes Welker next year.  After several years of bad drafts, the Pats desperately needed a deep class.  They may just have gotten it.

4. Steelers

Total picks: 9

Made team: 5

Total Games Played: 66

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick:  David Johnson

Starters drafted: none

Summary and Grade:  B- It's just too early to grade this draft yet.  The Steelers had decent participation, but no one looks to be a break out star.  First round pick Ziggy Hood was something of a bust in his first year.

5.  Ravens

Total picks: 6

Made team: 3

Total Games Played: 39

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick:  Michael Oher

Starters drafted: Michael Oher

Summary and Grade: C+ I can't give them a higher grade unless Oher turns out to be a franchise caliber left tackle.  Only three players made the team, so it will be hard for this draft to be particularly deep or productive for the Ravens.

A Decade of Drafting-2008

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

Due to popular request, I'm expanding my look at the Colts' drafts to include some other teams.  Each day, we'll look how the Colts, Steelers, Patriots, Eagles and Ravens drafted this decade.  We'll start with the year 2000.  I'm ranking the teams based on this criteria:  would you trade one entire draft for another?  The team whose draft you would definitely trade the others for gets top billing.

The 2008 draft was awful for most teams.  The Ravens hit a home run in the first two rounds and immediately vaulted toward the top of the AFC.  The Colts did ok, but the Pats, Eagles and especially the Steelers had forgettable seasons.

1.  Ravens

Total picks: 10

Made team: 8

Total Games Played: 167

Total Pro Bowls:  1 (Ray Rice-1)

Best pick:  Joe Flacco

Starters drafted: Tavares Gooden (1 season), Ray Rice (1 season), Joe Flacco (2 seasons)

Summary and Grade: A It's hard to argue with the production the Ravens have had out of their 2008 class. Anytime a team lands a legitimate starting quarterback AND a top of the league runner in the first two rounds, the draft is going to get a good grade.  The Ravens got lots of depth out of this class as well, however.  Should Flacco ultimately not pan out, this grade will drop, but through two seasons the Ravens have to be thrilled with where he is at.

2.  Colts

Total picks: 9

Made team: 9

Total Games Played: 166

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick:  Pierre Garcon

Starters drafted: Pollak (1 season), Wheeler (1 season), Garcon (1 season), Richard (1 season)

Summary and Grade:  B. This should be lower but Garcon may turn out to be the single best pick in the entire draft.  At the time, people said the 2008 draft was weak, but in hindsight, it was SUPER weak.  Remarkably few of the players in the draft have managed to even earn starting jobs, let alone become stars. The jury is still out on Wheeler, who I thought improved as the season went along.  Garcon was a steal.  Pollak has been disappointing to say the least.  Looking at how bad this draft was, it's now clear why teams like the Colts and Patriots actively traded out of it both before and during the draft.  This was just a weak, weak crop of players.

3 (tie). Eagles

Total picks: 10

Made team: 5

Total Games Played: 99

Total Pro Bowls:  1 (DeSean Jackson-1)

Best pick: Jackson

Starters drafted: DeSean Jackson (1 season)

Summary and Grade: C- This draft is a mirror image of the Patriots.  Precious little production by volume or by star power.  DeSean Jackson did make a Pro Bowl, but now with the move to Kevin Kolb, you have to wonder if his career might wind up coming up short.

3 (tie). Patriots

Total picks:7

Made team: 5

Total Games Played:  100

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick:  Jerod Mayo

Starters drafted: Jerod Mayo (2 seasons)

Summary and Grade: C- The Pats draft was utterly without star power or depth.  Only Mayo and Jonathan Wilhite have played much at all.  Mayo looked like a potential star after winning the Rookie of the Year award, but faded in his second year as he was hampered by injuries.

5. Steelers

Total picks: 7

Made team: 4

Total Games Played: 47

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick: Rashard Mendenhall

Starters drafted: Rashard Mendenhall (1 season)

Summary and Grade:  D. Mendenhall battled injuries in his rookie year, but had a solid YPC in his second year.  This class may go down as one of the worst drafts of the decade by any of the teams.  Mendenhall could still rescue it by having a nice career, or I'd give it an F.

A Decade of Drafting-2007

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

Due to popular request, I'm expanding my look at the Colts' drafts to include some other teams.  Each day, we'll look how the Colts, Steelers, Patriots, Eagles and Ravens drafted this decade.  We'll start with the year 2000.  I'm ranking the teams based on this criteria:  would you trade one entire draft for another?  The team whose draft you would definitely trade the others for gets top billing.

The Steelers set up their Super Bowl run with a home run draft in 2007.  The Colts could still come out on top here, but Session would have to hit another level, and Gonzo needs to become a star.  Or, Ugoh could become a starter.  The Pats grade will be controversial, but remember that I'm only evaluating them for the players they chose.  NOT for the players they obtained via trade.

1.  Steelers

Total picks: 8

Made team: 7

Total Games Played: 225

Total Pro Bowls:  1 (La Marr Woodley-1)

Best pick: LaMarr Woodley

Starters drafted: Lawrence Timmons (1 season), LaMarr Woodley (2 seasons), Matt Spaeth (2 seasons), Daniel Sepulveda (2 seasons), William Gay (1 season),

Summary and Grade: A. A great draft by the Steelers helped put them over the top in 2008.  Five starters and a star in Woodley is an excellent year by any standard.

2.  Ravens

Total picks: 7

Made team: 7

Total Games Played: 232

Total Pro Bowls:  2 (LeRon McClain-2)

Best pick: Ben Grubbs

Starters drafted: Ben Grubbs (3 seasons), Yamon Figures (2 seasons), Marshall Yanda (2 seasons), Le'Ron McClain (3 seasons)

Summary and Grade: B+ A good draft for the Ravens.  Everyone made the squad.  Several players have contributed.  McClain keeps making Pro Bowls because he's the only fullback left in the NFL.  A nice job by them.

3.  Colts

Total picks: 9

Made team: 9

Total Games Played: 184

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick:  Clint Session

Starters drafted: Gonzalez (2 seasons), Ugoh (2 seasons), Session (2 seasons), Dawson (1 season)

Summary and Grade:  B.  The jury is still out on this group, though it's safe to say that the pick of Session was a definite hit.  Gonzo was on his way to becoming a star before popping a knee.  No one knows what do with Ugoh, but in looking back over the draft, it's not clear that anyone else would have been a better pick.  The big blow of the draft was the early retirement of Quinn Pitcock after a nice rookie year.  Unless Gonzo goes on to have a long career, however, this could end up being a bit of a bust class.  There's still plenty of time for Gonzo and Session to become Pro Bowl players.  If Ugoh ever blossoms into a player, this could be a very productive class.  It's important to note that all 9 draftees made the team as well.  As a team becomes elite, it is harder for new players to break through.

4.  Eagles

Total picks: 8

Made team: 5

Total Games Played: 135

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick: Brent Celek

Starters drafted: Stewart Bradley (1 season), Brent Celek (1 season)

Summary and Grade: C. It's totally unfair to grade this class until we know if Kevin Kolb can become a starter.  They've dealt McNabb betting that he will.  I'm no fan of Kolb, but we have to let it play out before grading this group.  Celek had a breakout year last year at tight end.

5. Patriots

Total picks: 9

Made team: 1

Total Games Played: 48

Total Pro Bowls:  1 (Brandon Meriweather-1)

Best pick:  Meriweather

Starters drafted: Brandon Meriweather (1 season)

Summary and Grade: D No draft in the decade is weirder than the Patriots draft in 2007.  They made two trades that netted Wes Welker and Randy Moss, so obviously they did well over all.  The purpose of this exercise is not to evaluate trades, but rather the actual players picked.  The conventional wisdom about the Pats '07 draft was that they were so loaded, that they didn't have room for any of the players they picked.  They were so stacked, that they just had to cut the guys they took.  In this case, the facts don't support the CW.

The truth is that they made bad picks.  Only four of the 9 players they took made ANY NFL team.  Only two played more than five games in the league.  Only one has become a starter (Meriweather).  Had a bunch of players cut by the Pats become solid starters in the league, I would have given them a better grade, recognizing the depth of their overall roster.  In this case, they took a bunch of stiffs, and were unable to replenish their roster.  When you hear analysts say things like "the Pats look old", you can point to the 2007 draft as the reason.  The Patriots made one good pick and a bunch of terrible ones.

A Decade of Drafting-2006

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

Due to popular request, I'm expanding my look at the Colts' drafts to include some other teams.  Each day, we'll look how the Colts, Steelers, Patriots, Eagles and Ravens drafted this decade.  We'll start with the year 2000.  I'm ranking the teams based on this criteria:  would you trade one entire draft for another?  The team whose draft you would definitely trade the others for gets top billing.

The Ravens edge out the Colts for the top slot in 2006, thanks in part to the fact that several of the starters for the Colts were real weak links and/or role players in recent years.  Ngata was a great first pick, and the Ravens had more depth and production than the Colts from the year.

1.  Ravens

Total picks: 10

Made team: 8

Total Games Played: 344

Total Pro Bowls:  1 (Haloti Ngata-1)

Best pick: Ngata

Starters drafted: Haloti Ngata (4 seasons),  Chris Chester (2 seasons), Dawan Landry (3 seasons), Quinn Sypniewski (1 season), Sam Kotch (4 seasons)

Summary and Grade:  A. An excellent year for the Ravens.  They nailed both depth and quality.  Ngata has become a feared tackle on excellent defenses.  They edge the Colts this year just by a whisker, thanks to more starters and more games played.

2.  Colts

Total picks: 7

Made team: 7

Total Games Played: 306

Total Pro Bowls:  2 (Addai-1, Bethea 1)

Best pick:  Antoine Bethea

Starters drafted: Addai (3 seasons), Tim Jennings (1 season), Keiaho (2 seasons), Charlie Johnson (2 seasons), Antoine Bethea (4 seasons)

Summary and Grade: A.  This was a crazy deep draft loaded with great players, but how can you criticize four starters (two of whom made Pro Bowls)?  The worst pick was Keiaho who turned out to just be 'a guy' and cost the Colts a chance at a number of Pro Bowl caliber players.  The Colts got more games played out of this draft than out of any of the previous four. That's remarkable considering that four of those players are still with the team and accumulating games.  This was the draft that put the Colts over the top and on to the Super Bowl.  This is also one of only two Indy drafts of the decade (to date) to produce two Pro Bowl players.

3.  Eagles

Total picks: 8

Made team: 7

Total Games Played: 288

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick:  Brodrick Bunkley

Starters drafted: Brodrick Bunkley (3 seasons), Winston Justice (1 season), Chris Gocong (3 seasons), Max Jean-Giles (1 season), Omar Gaither (2 seasons)

Summary and Grade: B- No real star power for the Eagles, but they did managed to get a pile of games, and five different players managed to crack the starting line up.  Unfortunately, none of them have become more than average players.  Bunkley was measured to have had a nice season upfront by Pro Football Focus, but at the end of the day, there hasn't been a lot to write home about for the Eagles from 2006.

4.  Steelers

Total picks: 9

Made team: 4

Total Games Played: 163

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick: Santonio Holmes

Starters drafted: Santonio Holmes (3 seasons), Anthony Smith (1 season), Willie Colon (3 seasons)

Summary and Grade: C+. Holmes is developing into a Pro Bowl caliber player, and Willie Colon is the starting right tackle, so that's two valuable players.  Unfortunately for the Steelers, this goes down as one of the thinnest drafts I've looked at.  They haven't gotten any 'playing time production' out of any of the other picks.

5.  Patriots

Total picks: 10

Made team: 7

Total Games Played: 242

Total Pro Bowls:  1 (Gostowski-1)

Best pick: Stephen Gostowski

Starters drafted: David Thomas (1 season), Stephen Gotowski (4 seasons)

Summary and Grade: C.  The Vinateri for Gostowski swap worked for the Pats.  Nothing else in this draft did, least of all first round pick Laurence Maroney, who was taken before more accomplished backs.  Gostowski and Maroney are the only players from this draft still with the team.

 

Wasted At Bats

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

If anyone wants to know why I'm so down on the Reds, yesterday's game is the prime example.  Under Dusty Baker, the Reds have shown an appalling lack of plate discipline.  I'm not mad they lost 4-3 to the Cubs yesterday, but I am mad at how they lost.  Starting in the bottom of the 6th with the score tied 3-3, here are the Reds final 12 outs:

6th:

  • Walk
  • Strikeout
  • double play

7th

  • Strikeout
  • Strikeout
  • Strikeout

8th

  • Strikeout
  • single! (Joey Votto is the only professional hitter on that team)
  • fielders choice
  • line out (great play Lee, or it's a double to tie the game)

9th

  • Strikeout
  • Strikeout
  • Strikeout
In their final 12 at bats, the Reds struck out 8 times, and hit into a double play.  It's not like they were facing Sandy Kofax out there either.  I know that a strikeout is just like any other out, but if you had seen the wild hacks the Reds were taking, you'd understand.  There's a total lack of plate discipline from almost the entire lineup.  In a one run game, every player went to plate trying to hit the ball out of the park.  It was embarrassing. It's crappy 1980s AL baseball, and it makes it impossible to root for the team.  Games like yesterday happen all too often.  I don't know if the problem is the players or with Dusty Baker's lack of discipline over the team, but until this team learns to have actually big league quality at bats, it will never contend on any meaningful level.  14 strikeouts in a game is humiliating.  Eight in the final four innings are inexcusable.

A Decade of Drafting-2005

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

Due to popular request, I'm expanding my look at the Colts' drafts to include some other teams.  Each day, we'll look how the Colts, Steelers, Patriots, Eagles and Ravens drafted this decade.  We'll start with the year 2000.  I'm ranking the teams based on this criteria:  would you trade one entire draft for another?  The team whose draft you would definitely trade the others for gets top billing.

The Eagles take the cake in 2005 with a deep draft that churned out a slew of starters.  The Pats were also excellent.  The Colts had one of their worst drafts of the decade, but still managed to do better than either the Steelers or the Ravens.  It's always nice when your weakest year still produces several starters.

2005

1.  Eagles

Total picks:  11

Made team: 9

Total Games Played: 395

Total Pro Bowls: 2 (Trent Cole-2)

Best pick:  Trent Cole

Starters drafted: Mike Patterson (4 seasons), Reggie Brown (3 seasons), Matt McCoy (1 season), Sean Considine (2 seasons), Todd Herrmans (4 seasons), Trent Cole (4 seasons)

Summary and grade:  A+ Trent Cole is still making Pro Bowls, the draft as a whole produced 6 starters and 395 games and counting.  The Eagles have had some stinkers in this series, but this one was just a great haul.  Lots of good solid starters and a star.

2.  Patriots

Total picks: 7

Made team :5

Total Games Played: 310

Total Pro Bowls: 2 (Logan Mankins-2)

Best pick:  Mankins

Starters drafted: Logan Mankins (5 seasons), Ellis Hobbs (4 seasons), Nick Kaczur (5 seasons), James Sanders (2 seasons), Matt Cassel (1 season)

Summary and grade:  A. This was a wonderful draft for the Pats.  Not only did all five players who made the team end up becoming starters, but they eventually dealt Cassel in part for a second round pick.  They got depth and star power.  Excellent draft.

3. Colts

Total picks: 10

Made team: 8 (Vincent "Sweet Pea" Burns made the team but was injured and never played)

Total Games Played for Colts: 275

Total Pro Bowls: 0

Best pick:  Kelvin Hayden

Starters drafted: Marlin Jackson (2 seasons), Kelvin Hayden (3 seasons), Dylan Gandy (1 season), Tyjuan Hagler (1 season)

Summary and grade: B-.  Not the strongest draft, in part because of Jackson's knee problems.  The real air ball was Vincent Burns, who was taken over several players who went on to significant NFL success.  The most frustrating part of the 2005 draft is that there were several excellent pass rushers available who were not selected.  The 2007 and 2009 seasons might have ended very differently if this draft had gone better.  Still, the Colts pulled down several starters and will likely post more than 300 total games played from this class.  It wasn't a bad draft so much as a missed opportunity.

4.  Steelers

Total picks: 8

Made team: 6

Total Games: 241

Total Pro Bowls: 1 (Heath Miller-1)

Best pick: Heath Miller

Starters drafted: Miller (5 seasons), Bryant McFadden (2 seasons), Trai Essex (1 season), Chris Kemoeatu (2 seasons)

Summary and grade: B- Miller is a solid, though fairly ordinary tight end.  The rest of the draft is utterly forgetable.

5.  Ravens

Total picks: 7

Made team: 6

Total Games Played: 232

Total Pro Bowls: 1 (Derek Anderson with Browns)

Best pick: Jason Brown

Starters drafted: Mark Clayton (5 seasons), Adam Terry (1 season), Jason Brown (3 seasons)

Summary and grade: C-. Not a good haul at all for the Ravens.  Clayton has never had 1,000 yard season or more than 5 TDs.  Brown was a three year starter, now starting in Saint Louis.  About the only interesting pick was Derek Anderson, who never played for them at all.  The Ravens got neither depth nor talent in 2005.

A Decade of Drafting-2004

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

Due to popular request, I'm expanding my look at the Colts' drafts to include some other teams.  Each day, we'll look how the Colts, Steelers, Patriots, Eagles and Ravens drafted this decade.  We'll start with the year 2000.  I'm ranking the teams based on this criteria:  would you trade one entire draft for another?  The team whose draft you would definitely trade the others for gets top billing.

2004 can be argued.  The Colts had the deepest draft, producing four starters (though one of them sucked worse than any player in history).  The Steelers get the top grade for selected in Roethlisberger, though I suppose the wisdom of that could be debated.  Still, two world titles later, it's hard to debate his impact.  The Pats and Eagles had relatively poor (and shallow) drafts, and the Ravens were a mess.  A reader questioned my grade of "B" for the Colts draft, but I think that now you can see it in context, B might have been too low a grade.

2004

1. Steelers

Total picks: 8

Made team: 4

Total Games Played: 205

Total Pro Bowls:  1 (Roethlisberger)

Best pick:  Ben Roethlisberger

Starters drafted: Roethlisberger (6 seasons), Max Starks (3 seasons)

Summary and Grade: A. All the nonsense aside, if you draft a quarterback who leads your team to two Super Bowls while being one of the highest rated passers all time, you get an A.  The rest of the draft was empty for the Steelers, but hitting on a quarterback is the toughest thing to do right

2. Colts

Total picks: 9

Made team: 8

Total Games Played for Colts: 251

Total Pro Bowls:  2 (Bob Sanders-2)

Best pick:  Bob Sanders

Starters drafted: Bob Sanders (4 seasons), Gilbert Gardner (1 season), Jason David (3 seasons), Jake Scott (4 seasons)

Summary and Grade: B.  This was a solid draft that produced four starters, including Bob Sanders.  It was a top heavy draft, but the Colts largely maximized their picks.  Hartsock over Cooley was a bit of a whiff.  It's easy to understand why the Colts took Gardner over Schaub in third round, but that was obviously disastrous.  The only pick that I'm sure Polian would like back was Kendyll Pope over Jerad Allen in the fourth round, but I think a lot of people would like that pick back  Jim Sorgi was in this draft as well.  Overall, this draft gets down graded because despite producing a game changer, on the whole the Colts got fewer games out of it than any of the others, and because there were a couple of obvious misses.

3.  Patriots

Total picks: 8

Made team: 7

Total Games Played: 193

Total Pro Bowls: 2 (Vince Wilfork-2)

Best pick: Wilfork

Starters drafted: Wilfork (5 seasons), Ben Watson (5 seasons)

Summary and Grade:C+ Wilfork was a good first round pick, and Watson proved a competent, if disappointing tight end.  They were the only players of note for the Pats that came out of this draft.  Not a strong effort at all.

4. Eagles

Total picks: 10

Made team: 8

Total Games Played: 217

Total Pro Bowls: 2 (Shawn Andrews-2)

Best pick:  Shawn Andrews

Starters drafted: Andrews (3 seasons), Thomas Tapheh (2 seasons)

Summary and Grade: C Andrews turned in two Pro Bowl seasons to justify his selection at guard, although he missed all of 2009 and has already been released by the team.  The only other player to contribute at all was Tapheh who chipped in at full back for a couple of seasons.  Not a good draft at all for the Eagles.

5. Ravens

Total picks: 7

Made team: 5

Total Games Played: 154

Total Pro Bowls: 0

Best pick: No one

Starters drafted: Dwan Edwards (1 season)

Summary and Grade: D- Wow, drafts don't come much worse than this for the Ravens.  They had no first round pick (I believe it was a consequence of the Boller acquisition the year before).  No one from this draft is any good, and only second round pick Dwan Edwards ever started at all.  The tackle has 2 sacks and fewer than 100 tackles in five years...and he was the best player they picked.  Ouch.