Five Plays in Free Agency - WR Mike Wallace

Written by Ben Savage on .

Having assessed the worth of Dwayne Bowe and Greg Jennings in the past fortnight, it's time to turn my attention to the final member of the feted WR trio of free agency, Mike Wallace. Anyone even slightly familiar with Wallace's game would describe him as a deep-threat speedster, a role in which he was most successful under Bruce Arians in the two years of 2010-12.

Given the mini-drama surrounding Wallace last offseason, there was little doubt that his performance this year would be under heavy scrutiny from a variety of teams around the league. Rumours abounded a year ago of Wallace's apparent contract demands, which seemed a tad unrealistic at the time, let alone now. If he could maintain his 2010-12 levels of performance, he'd likely have been paid as a Top 5 receiver in the league - unfortunately for Wallace and the Steelers, 2012 wasn't such a happy time for the wideout. He declined in all major statistical categories (touchdowns aside), while his on-field performance started to incorporate drops and miscommunications which weren't evident in his prior body of work.

Furthermore, questions were raised about his off-field temperment and judgement, with the tense contractual standoff between Wallace and the Steelers - resulting in a holdout last year - augmented by recent reports of lockerroom dissension from fellow receiver Antonio Brown - the guy with the juicy new contract. Add all of the above together and you get a picture of why I don't think the Colts should pursue Mike Wallace - also add in the fact that we have a similarly speedy threat with unlimited potential in T.Y Hilton - though it's only fair to illustrate strengths and weaknesses nonetheless.

The first play I've chosen to illustrate Wallace's main strength is coincidentally against the Colts - though i'd forgive you for having banished the memory, given it comes from the dark days of last year. It's a 2nd and 5 from the PIT 19 with roughly 5:15 on the clock in the 1st Quarter.

I've chosen to circle three important defenders on the play - David Caldwell; Antoine Bethea and Pat Angerer. Caldwell and Bethea are occupying the back end, while Angerer is playing the Mike in the 4-3, and guess which defensive playcall the Colts happened to opt for? That's right, the dreaded Cover 2. Wallace is tasked with streaking across the formation to expose the limitations of the Cover 2 - the opposite receiver is running an out route behind the sitting zone corner, which puts the strong safety (Bethea) in a hell of a bind.

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Colts Free Agency News and Rumors: Powers, Vasquez, and Others

Written by Marcus Dugan on .

 

Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

(Christopher Hanewinckel - USA Today Sports)

There are a few free agency rumors and reports floating around the internet this week regarding the Colts.  We’ll take a look at some of the recent stories and see which ones are true, plausible, or unlikely.  The Colts have to spend up to the 89% cap floor this season, with $44 million in cap space, so expect the free agent buzz surrounding the team to ramp up in the next two weeks. 

We'll get to this week's big story in a moment, but after the jump, we'll begin with a player most of us believed had played his last game as a Colt. 

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Did Bill Polian Expose a Charade? And other Combine Thoughts

Written by Greg Cowan on .

The NFL Scouting Combine is coming to a close today. No more clinging to the constantly rising and falling stock of the stars of tomorrow as they run around the practice field in shorts and a t-shirt (or state of the art spandex). No more stories about how teams love a certain player, followed by stories from the media telling us that most of those stories are just lies created to throw off other teams.

If you can't tell, I'm not a fan of the combine. In fact, since the NFL Network turned it into a "made for TV" event, I've caught exactly 1 workout: Andrew Luck's. The truth is, I don't know how to decipher half of what I'm seeing, and the half I can decipher - being able to read plain stats such as 40 times and bench press - seem utterly inane to me in the context of football. Really, does it matter how fast I can run in a straight line while not wearing pads? [Spoiler Alert: No]

That said, it is a popular event, so let's talk about some of the bigger news items from the past weekend.

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Five Years of Drop Rate: How the Colts have fared

Written by Kyle J. Rodriguez on .

One of my favorite "advanced" stats is wide receiver drop rate.

It's really fairly simple, taking the number of drops and dividing them by the number of targets a wide receiver receives. Unfortunately, most NFL stat places don't keep track of how many of those targets are catchable, and which are not, which is critical when looking at drop rate. 

Fortunately, Pro Football Focus has kept track of that since 2008, making a drop rate that is extremely useful when comparing wide receivers. 

After an extremely frustrating year for Colts wide receivers in terms of drops, I started playing with PFF's wide receiver numbers and decided to take a look back into the past five years and look at the Colts' numbers. The final product was fascinating, at least to me. 

 

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Pondering: Letting a Legend Go

Written by Kyle J. Rodriguez on .

I've been pretty clear about what I thought the Colts should do with Dwight Freeney.

In case you're too lazy to click the link, I've been a big proponent of letting the Classic Colt walk in free agency. The logical reasons are all there, it makes sense. He doesn't fit well, he's aging, and there are better targets out there. 

Then there was some talk of the Colts possibly re-signing Freeney, and I was scared they might. I was scared they'd pass up the chance to pick up a younger, more natural fit at the position, holding on to the past. 

But last week they announced that they'll let the 33-year old pass rusher go. I let out a sigh of relief. The Colts wouldn't make the mistake I so feared, letting nostalgia and past accomplishments cloud their judgment. 

But now, I kind of wish they did.

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Five Plays in Free Agency - WR Greg Jennings.

Written by Ben Savage on .

Having started examining potential free agent additions with wide receiver Dwayne Bowe a week ago, i've opted to continue in the same vein by putting another receiver - Greg Jennings - under the microscope this week. Out of the lauded trio of Bowe, Jennings and Wallace, Jennings is my personal favourite by some considerable distance.

An incredibly savvy route runner with rare zone-busting skills, Jennings has always struck me as a Colts style receiver, similar to a Reggie Wayne or a Marvin Harrison in that his fundamentals are completely sound - he doesn't waste steps with his footwork, he's got heightened awareness on the field which is helped by his experience, and he's made absolutely huge catches on the big stage in the past.

However, injury concerns have limited Jennings to 21 starts in 32 games the past two years, leading to questions regarding his durability as he moves into his 30s (he'll be 30 in September). Furthermore, the ease with which Randall Cobb and James Jones seemed to replace Jennings' production is the reason why he's even going to be available in this free agency period - the Packers believe they have readymade replacements at a much cheaper price. As I've stated, I see Jennings as an option worth pursuing if we're going to target WRs in Free Agency, and now I hope to illustrate why.

I'll try and keep it to a semi-chronological order, so i'll start with the biggest stage of them all - the Superbowl. It's Packers vs. Steelers from 2011, and it's a 1st and 10 from the PIT 21, with 2:41 remaining in the 2nd quarter.

Jennings starts the play in question in the slot, prior to motioning to the opposite side of the formation. The motion allows Rodgers to potentially identify coverage (man vs. zone, if an opposing player were to track him), and if he has an idea about manipulating the picture in front of him already, so much the better for taking advantage.

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Should the Colts Cut Dwight Freeney?

Written by Greg Cowan on .

No.

Thanks for joining us for this week's episode of "Common Sense and Sensibility"!  Tune in next week as we discuss wearing helmets, cups, and cleats!

Wait, I'm contractually obligated to write more?  Fine.

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Replacing Dwight Freeney

Written by Kyle J. Rodriguez on .

How exactly do you replace the franchise's all-time sack leader?

You don't. 

How do you replace an aging pass rusher who didn't fit the current scheme well or offer much against the run? 

Well, now that is a different question entirely. 

No matter your personal opinion about Dwight Freeney, a few things are certain. 

  1. He will finish his career as one of the greatest Colts of all time, and the second-most important Colt of the Manning/Polian era (Marvin was the second-greatest, but Freeney is the second-most important). 
  2. Even though Robert Mathis has a chance to pass his franchise sack record (he's just 16 behind with three more years on his contract), Freeney will always be the first one mentioned of the duo. 
  3. He will always be more comfortable in a 4-3 than a 3-4. 
  4. He's a liability against the run. 
  5. The Colts made the right decision to let him go

The Colts are committed to one veteran pass rusher already, and it simply didn't make sense to try to hold on to another one, again, one that simply didn't fit well. 

So now what? 

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Then and Now: Colts Part Ways with Freeney and Collie

Written by Marcus Dugan on .

Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY SportsTom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sports

Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sports

Yesterday, around 1:30 PM, Indianapolis Star columnist Bob Kravitz reported that the Colts would not be re-signing Dwight Freeney or Austin Collie.  Both players are set to become free agents at 4:00 PM on March 12, when the new league year begins. 

Both players have given Colts fans some incredible memories, but their situations are very different.  We’ll take a look back at each player and at his prospects for the future, and then finish up with a few links to some great video highlights. 

Donnie Avery, the Wildcat, and Pep Hamilton

Written by Kyle J. Rodriguez on .

Look, I know it's only February. I know that coachspeak in the offseason means little. 

That being said, Pep Hamilton's first press conference had a few hot button issues that left a sour taste in my mouth. Not everything was bad, quite to the contrary, but these were a couple things I wanted to look in-depth at. 

The first, and most important topic, was the continuous mentions of Donnie Avery. Throughout the press conference, Hamilton described Avery as a weapon and referred to him as somebody who would feature in to the Colts' 2013 plans. It's no secret that Grigson like's Avery, specifically his speed and his deep threat ability. 

After holding back the offense for much of the 2012 season, it seemed all but certain that Avery would be gone in 2013. Now, it's looking more and more likely like he'll be back in Indianapolis. 

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