A Decade of Drafting-2004

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

Due to popular request, I'm expanding my look at the Colts' drafts to include some other teams.  Each day, we'll look how the Colts, Steelers, Patriots, Eagles and Ravens drafted this decade.  We'll start with the year 2000.  I'm ranking the teams based on this criteria:  would you trade one entire draft for another?  The team whose draft you would definitely trade the others for gets top billing.

2004 can be argued.  The Colts had the deepest draft, producing four starters (though one of them sucked worse than any player in history).  The Steelers get the top grade for selected in Roethlisberger, though I suppose the wisdom of that could be debated.  Still, two world titles later, it's hard to debate his impact.  The Pats and Eagles had relatively poor (and shallow) drafts, and the Ravens were a mess.  A reader questioned my grade of "B" for the Colts draft, but I think that now you can see it in context, B might have been too low a grade.

2004

1. Steelers

Total picks: 8

Made team: 4

Total Games Played: 205

Total Pro Bowls:  1 (Roethlisberger)

Best pick:  Ben Roethlisberger

Starters drafted: Roethlisberger (6 seasons), Max Starks (3 seasons)

Summary and Grade: A. All the nonsense aside, if you draft a quarterback who leads your team to two Super Bowls while being one of the highest rated passers all time, you get an A.  The rest of the draft was empty for the Steelers, but hitting on a quarterback is the toughest thing to do right

2. Colts

Total picks: 9

Made team: 8

Total Games Played for Colts: 251

Total Pro Bowls:  2 (Bob Sanders-2)

Best pick:  Bob Sanders

Starters drafted: Bob Sanders (4 seasons), Gilbert Gardner (1 season), Jason David (3 seasons), Jake Scott (4 seasons)

Summary and Grade: B.  This was a solid draft that produced four starters, including Bob Sanders.  It was a top heavy draft, but the Colts largely maximized their picks.  Hartsock over Cooley was a bit of a whiff.  It's easy to understand why the Colts took Gardner over Schaub in third round, but that was obviously disastrous.  The only pick that I'm sure Polian would like back was Kendyll Pope over Jerad Allen in the fourth round, but I think a lot of people would like that pick back  Jim Sorgi was in this draft as well.  Overall, this draft gets down graded because despite producing a game changer, on the whole the Colts got fewer games out of it than any of the others, and because there were a couple of obvious misses.

3.  Patriots

Total picks: 8

Made team: 7

Total Games Played: 193

Total Pro Bowls: 2 (Vince Wilfork-2)

Best pick: Wilfork

Starters drafted: Wilfork (5 seasons), Ben Watson (5 seasons)

Summary and Grade:C+ Wilfork was a good first round pick, and Watson proved a competent, if disappointing tight end.  They were the only players of note for the Pats that came out of this draft.  Not a strong effort at all.

4. Eagles

Total picks: 10

Made team: 8

Total Games Played: 217

Total Pro Bowls: 2 (Shawn Andrews-2)

Best pick:  Shawn Andrews

Starters drafted: Andrews (3 seasons), Thomas Tapheh (2 seasons)

Summary and Grade: C Andrews turned in two Pro Bowl seasons to justify his selection at guard, although he missed all of 2009 and has already been released by the team.  The only other player to contribute at all was Tapheh who chipped in at full back for a couple of seasons.  Not a good draft at all for the Eagles.

5. Ravens

Total picks: 7

Made team: 5

Total Games Played: 154

Total Pro Bowls: 0

Best pick: No one

Starters drafted: Dwan Edwards (1 season)

Summary and Grade: D- Wow, drafts don't come much worse than this for the Ravens.  They had no first round pick (I believe it was a consequence of the Boller acquisition the year before).  No one from this draft is any good, and only second round pick Dwan Edwards ever started at all.  The tackle has 2 sacks and fewer than 100 tackles in five years...and he was the best player they picked.  Ouch.

A Decade of Drafting-2003

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

Due to popular request, I'm expanding my look at the Colts' drafts to include some other teams.  Each day, we'll look how the Colts, Steelers, Patriots, Eagles and Ravens drafted this decade.  We'll start with the year 2000.  I'm ranking the teams based on this criteria:  would you trade one entire draft for another?  The team whose draft you would definitely trade the others for gets top billing.

2003 belonged to the Colts and Patriots.  They were neck and neck for the best draft of the year, and I'm giving the nod to Indy by the slimmest of margins.  The Colts had more Pro Bowl players, and I think Clark, June, and Mathis are more valuable than Warren, Samuel and Koppen, though it's certainly open to debate.  The Colts are still getting good seasons from Clark and Mathis, while the Pats best players from this draft are gone or declining.

2003

1.  Colts

Total picks: 8

Made team: 8

Total Games Played for Colts: 378

Total Pro Bowls:  4 (Clark 1, Mathis 2, June 1)

Best pick:  Robert Mathis

Starters drafted: Dallas Clark (7 seasons), Mike Doss (3 seasons), Donald Strickland (1 season), Steve Sciullo (1 season), Mathis (6 seasons), Cato June (3 seasons)

Summary and Grade: A.  This draft should be an A+ simply because of Mathis in the 5th round and 6 starters taken, not to mention 378 total games played for the Colts.  However, as much as I love Dallas Clark, you have to think the Colts would have been a better team had they taken Asomuga in the first round and Whitten in the second.  Whitten is every bit the threat Clark is, and Asomuga is the best corner in football, and has been for several seasons now.  Still, this kind of draft is the motherload.  Three Pro Bowl caliber players (two selected late) and a slew of starters is a total haul for any team.

2.  Patriots

Total picks: 10

Made team: 8

Total Games: 469

Total Pro Bowls: 4 (Samuel-3, 2 with Eagles, Koppen-1)

Best pick: Asante Samuel

Starters drafted: Ty Warren (6 seasons), Eugene Wilson (3 seasons), Asante Samuel (4 seasons), Dan Koppen (6 seasons)

Summary and Grade: A.  This was a great draft for the Pats, but they clearly made a mistake in not resigning Asante Samuel.  They nabbed two Pro Bowl players, four solid starters and a motherload of games.  Drafts like this are what championships are built on.

3.  Steelers

Total picks: 5

Made team: 4

Total Games Played: 211

Total Pro Bowls: 5 (Polamalu-5)

Best pick: Troy Polamalu

Starters drafted: Polmalu (5 seasons), Ike Taylor (5 seasons)

Summary and Grade: B+. Polamalu is one of the best players of the decade, and Ike Taylor is a solid starter, but that is ALL this draft produced for the Steelers.  This was a boom bust draft, but it did help them to two Super Bowl Titles.  If you are going to have a draft where you only get two starters, make sure one is one of the true difference makers in the NFL.

4.  Ravens

Total picks: 11

Made team: 8

Total Games Played: 457

Total Pro Bowls: 3 (Terrell Suggs-3)

Best pick:  Terrell Suggs

Starters drafted: Suggs (6 seasons), Kyle Boller (4 seasons), Jarret Johnson (4 seasons), Ovie Mughelli (1 season), Tony Pashos (1 season)

Summary and Grade: B-.  This draft gets downgraded because of how bad Kyle Boller was.  This is an example of why just measuring starters and games can be misleading. Boller was always awful and every game he played was one more game further away for a title by the Ravens.  He was a massive bust, and despite good production from Suggs and Johnson, this draft can't be considered a big success.

5.  Eagles

Total picks: 6

Made team: 4

Total Games Played:  86

Total Pro Bowls: 0

Best pick:  L.J. Smith

Starters drafted: Smith (4 seasons)

Summary and Grade: D-.  This draft was an abject disaster by any standard.  When you only get one starter, and he's a fairly ordinary tight end, it's not a good year.  First round pick Jerome McDougle was a massive bust.  This was by far the worst of the drafts I've examined to date.

A Decade of Drafting-2002

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

Due to popular request, I'm expanding my look at the Colts' drafts to include some other teams.  Each day, we'll look how the Colts, Steelers, Patriots, Eagles and Ravens drafted this decade.  We'll start with the year 2000.  I'm ranking the teams based on this criteria:  would you trade one entire draft for another?  The team whose draft you would definitely trade the others for gets top billing.

All the top teams had great drafts in 2002.  The Ravens had a lot of quality and quantity.  The Eagles hit on three Pro Bowlers.  The Colts nabbed one of the great pass rushers in history, the Steelers landed 5 starters, and the Pats...well, they got Deion Branch.

2002

1. Ravens

Total picks: 10

Made team: 9

Total Games: 470

Total Pro Bowls:  6 (Ed Reed-5)

Best pick:  Ed Reed

Starters drafted: Ed Reed (8 seasons), Anthony Weaver (4 seasons), Dave Zastudil (4 seasons), Terry Jones (2 seasons)

Summary and grade: A+ This was the draft of the year.  Not only did the Ravens score a perennial All-Pro in Ed Reed, but they landed three other starters as well, had nine players make the team, and produced a healthy game total.  This was a great draft for the Ravens.  They got an impact player (like Indy did), but also landed more starters and more total games played than Indy did.

2. Eagles

Total picks: 8

Made team: 5

Total Games Played: 417

Total Pro Bowls:  5 (Sheppard-2, Michael Lewis-1, Westbrook-2)

Best pick:  Michael Westbrook

Starters drafted: Lito Sheppard (5 seasons), Michael Lewis (3 seasons), Sheldon Brown (6 seasons), Brian Westbrook (6 seasons)

Summary and grade: A. Finally a great draft from the Eagles.  Not only did they produce three Pro Bowl players, but landed four starters.  Their draft was so deep that seventh round pick Raheem Brock got cut, and was picked up by the Colts for whom he started for several seasons.  This was neck and neck with the Colts for the second spot.

3.  Colts

Total picks: 8

Made team: 7

Total Games Played: 286

Total Pro Bowls:  5 (Freeney-5)

Best pick:  Dwight Freeney

Starters drafted: Freeney (8 seasons), Tripplett (2 seasons), David Thornton (3 seasons)

Summary and grade:  A.  Considering how controversial the Freeney pick was, there's no other way to grade this draft.  Any time a team gets one of the three best players in its history at the 12th pick AND gets ripped for it, it's a good day.  Again, 7 of 8 players taken made the team.  The only bad picks were Jefferson and Allen both of whom were taken over better players at their positions (Hope and Taylor).  Overall, it's a hard draft to nitpick.  A true game changing rusher and two other other starters is a respectable haul from what was a top loaded draft.

4. Steelers

Total picks: 8

Made team: 7

Total Games: 513

Total Pro Bowls:  1 (Chris Hope with Titans-1)

Best pick:  Brett Keisel

Starters drafted: Kendall Simmons (5 seasons), Antwaan Randel El (1 season), Chris Hope (2 seasons), Larry Foote (5 seasons), Brett Keisel (4 seasons)

Summary and grade: A. This is the classic "no home runs, but a lot of hits" draft.  The Steelers only got one Pro Bowl level player (Chris Hope made the Pro Bowl after leaving the Steelers), but they landed five starters for championship teams.  513 games played is the most I've tracked from any draft to date.  Any GM would take this kind of production year in and year out.  An excellent draft for sure.  I still rank it just fourth because of the lack of star power, but it's an A quality draft for sure.

5. Patriots

Total picks: 6

Made team: 5

Total Games Played: 300

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick:  Deion Branch

Starters drafted: Daniel Graham (4 seasons), Deion Branch (3 seasons), Jarvis Green (1 season), David Givens (2 seasons)

Summary and grade: B This was not a bad draft for the Pats, but there wasn't a lot of excellence either.  Branch won a Super Bowl MVP and later netted them a first round pick, so you have to recognize that value.  They got a few marginal starters.  It's basically a B- draft with a bump considering the value Branch brought specifically to them.

A Decade of Drafting-2001

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

Due to popular request, I'm expanding my look at the Colts' drafts to include some other teams.  Each day, we'll look how the Colts, Steelers, Patriots, Eagles and Ravens drafted this decade.  We'll start with the year 2000.  I'm ranking the teams based on this criteria:  would you trade one entire draft for another?  The team whose draft you would definitely trade the others for gets top billing.

2001 was a tough year to call, and how you rank the top three teams depends in part on what you are looking for out of a draft.  The Colts got more total games and more starters out of their draft, but the Steelers and Pats each got a pair of Pro Bowlers.  Ultimately, I think the Colts' draft was more valuable, but it is certainly open to debate.

1.  Colts

Total picks: 7

Made team: 7

Total Games Played: 452

Total Pro Bowls:  4 (Wayne-4)

Best pick:  Reggie Wayne

Starters drafted: Wayne (9 seasons), Bashir (4 seasons), Diem (9 seasons), Demulling (3 seasons)

Summary and Grade: B+.  This might seem low for a draft that included Reggie Wayne, but the 2001 draft was super deep.  Houshmanzada, Chad Johnson, and Steve Smith were all taken after Wayne.  You could argue that as long as the Colts were taking a receiver late in the first round, they had a pretty good chance of landing a good one.  Of course, they knew that too, which is why they traded down before drafting Wayne.  Wayne and Johnson have interesting parallels, but it's possible to argue that Smith was the best of the three.  The pick of Bashir is especially bad in hindsight simply because of the sheer number of very good players still available.  On the other hand, the Colts ended up keeping all seven players drafted, and the 2001 draft produced more games played for the Colts than any of the other drafts measured to date. Four starters is a good haul for any April.  All in all, it was a good draft in a good year to draft.

2.  Patriots

Total picks: 10

Made team: 6

Pro Bowls: 7 (Richard Seymour 5, Matt Light 2)

Games Played: 265

Starters: Seymour (8 seasons), Light (7 seasons), Kenyatta Jones (1 season)

Best Pick:  Seymour

Summary and grade: B+.  It wasn't a deep draft for the Pats, but both Light and Seymour were multiple Pro Bowl players who made All Pro teams too.  They got very little value after the second round, but had enough at the top to carry the day.  Again, this draft was extremely deep, so coming up with good players in the first two rounds wasn't necessarily a great feat.

3.  Steelers

Total picks: 7

Made team: 5

Total Games Played: 302

Total Pro Bowls:  6 (Hampton 5, Bell 1)

Best pick:  Casey Hampton

Starters drafted: Hampton (8 seasons), Kendrell Bell (3 seasons)

Summary and Grade: B This was a solid draft for the Steelers that produced two Pro Bowl players, including one dominant one in Casey Hampton.  Ultimately, Hampton and Bell were the only starters selected by the Steelers in a deep draft, so it's hard to rate this higher than the Colts and the Patriots.

4.  Ravens

Total picks: 7

Made team: 5

Total Games Played: 342

Total Pro Bowls:  2 (Heap-2)

Best pick:  Todd Heap

Starters drafted: Heap (8 seasons), Gary Baxter (3 seasons), Casey Rabach (1 season), Ed Hartwell (3 seasons)

Summary and Grade: B 2001 was a solid, but unspectacular year for the Ravens.  It wasn't an outstanding draft in terms of raw talent, but did produce four starters and a lot of games played.  Heap has been a quality tight end for years.  This draft was good, but would you trade it straight up for any of the others?

5.  Eagles

Total picks: 6

Made team: 6

Total Games Played: 197

Total Pro Bowls:  2 (Burgess-2)

Best pick:  Derrick Burgess

Starters drafted: Freddie Mitchell (1 season), Burgess (1 season)

Summary and Grade: C-. Considering this was a deep draft, the Eagles really had a miserable go of it.  The best player they picked, Derrick Burgess, never became a significant factor until leaving Philadelphia.  Immediately after joining the Raiders, he made two Pro Bowls.  Basically, the 2001 draft was a weak collection of backups.  Only two players taken ever became starters for the Eagles, and they each only started for a season a piece.  Again, the Eagles are the weak link among the five teams. I give them credit for drafting Burgess. If I was ranking this based on how much value they got for him, I'd give them a D.

A Decade of Drafting-2000

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

Due to popular request, I'm expanding my look at the Colts' drafts to include some other teams.  Each day, we'll look how the Colts, Steelers, Patriots, Eagles and Ravens drafted this decade.  We'll start with the year 2000.  I'm ranking the teams based on this criteria:  would you trade one entire draft for another?  The team whose draft you would definitely trade the others for gets top billing.

2000 Draft:

1.  Patriots

Total picks: 10

Made team: 7

Pro Bowls: 5 (Tom Brady 5)

Games Played: 368

Starters: Adrien Klemm (1 season), Gregg Randall (2 seasons), Tom Brady (8 seasons)

Best Pick:  Tom Brady

Summary and grade: A+.  It wasn't that great a draft, but when you get a Hall of Fame quarterback in the fifth round, you get an A+ and win the year.  The 2000 draft wasn't great for the Patriots other than Brady, but it did add long time contributor Patrick Pass, which helped the total games stat.

2.  Steelers

Total picks: 9

Made team: 7

Pro Bowls: 1 (Marvel Smith)

Games Played: 392

Starters: Burress (5 seasons), Smith (9 seasons), Hagaans (4 seasons)

Best Pick:  Marvel Smith

Summary and grade: B+.  2000 was a poor draft, but the Steelers hit on two very good players in Burress and Smith.  Three starters and nearly 400 games played in a weak draft is an excellent haul.

3.  Ravens

Total picks: 6

Made team: 4

Pro Bowls: 3 (Adalius Thomas 2, Jamal Lewis 1)

Games Played: 264

Starters: Lewis (6 seasons), Travis Taylor (5 seasons), Thomas (5 seasons)

Best Pick:  Adalius Thomas

Summary and grade: B+.  Not a lot of volume for the Ravens, but two players taken made the Pro Bowl, so that helps offset the swings and misses. 

4. Colts

Total picks: 7

Made team: 5

Pro Bowls: 1 (Marcus Washington-with Redskins)

Games Played: 305

Starters: Rob Morris (5 seasons), Washington (3 seasons), David Macklin (2 seasons), Josh Williams (3 seasons)

Best Pick:  Marcus Washington

Summary and gradeB. There was no huge breakout star for the Colts in this draft, but it's hard to argue with too many of the players selected.  This simply wasn't a great draft in general.  Morris never became a star in part because the Colts switched systems, and he was ill suited to play MLB.  In the end, he became a important part of the Super Bowl team.Washington was a very good player with the Colts and went on to play well in Washington.  Macklin was never very good, nor was Josh Williams, but both made the team and played heavily, so that is a form of value.  Even though there no huge stars in this draft, it's hard to look back in hindsight and second guess most of the picks.  Remember, the 2000 draft saw a kicker taken in the first round, and the best QB in the first round was Chad Pennington.  In another year, this would be a C or a C+ draft, but considering what there was to work with, the Colts did ok.

5.  Eagles

Total picks: 7

Made team: 4

Pro Bowls: 1 (Corey Simon)

Games Played: 192

Starters: Simon (5 seasons), Todd Pinkston (4 seasons), Bobbie Williams (1 season)

Best Pick:  Corey Simon

Summary and grade: C+.  Only four of seven picks made the team.  Only three were starters, and of those, only one was ever any good.  Things ended poorly with Corey Simon, thus depressing the over all quality of this draft.


Grading Polian Vol 3

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

Here's the look at Polian's draft record the last four years.

2006

Total picks: 7

Made team: 7

Total Games Played: 306 (and counting-Addai, Keiaho, Charlie Johnson, Bethea, T.J. Rushing)

Total Pro Bowls:  2 (Addai-1, Bethea 1)

Best pick:  Antoine Bethea

Worst pick:  Freddy Keiaho

Starters drafted: Adda (3 seasons), Tim Jennings (1 season), Keiaho (2 seasons), Charlie Johnson (2 seasons)

Could have have had:

Instead of Addai:  DeMeco Ryan (2nd), Maurice Jones-Drew (2nd), Marcus McNeil (2nd)

Instead of Keiaho:  Owen Daniels (4th), Jahari Evans (4th), Elvis Dumerville (4th), Leon Washington (4th)

Instead of Rushing: Marques Colston (7th)

Summary and Grade: A.  This was a crazy deep draft loaded with great players, but how can you criticize four starters (two of whom made Pro Bowls)?  The worst pick was Keiaho who turned out to just be 'a guy' and cost the Colts a chance at a number of Pro Bowl caliber players.  The Colts got more games played out of this draft than out of any of the previous four. That's remarkable considering that four of those players are still with the team and accumulating games.  This was the draft that put the Colts over the top and on to the Super Bowl.  This is also the only Indy draft one of only two Indy drafts of the decade (to date) to produce two Pro Bowl players.

2007

Total picks: 9

Made team: 9

Total Games Played: 184 (and counting-Gonzalez, Ugoh, Session, Dawson)

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick:  Clint Session

Worst pick: Dante Hughes

Starters drafted: Gonzalez (2 seasons), Ugoh (2 seasons), Session (2 seasons), Dawson (1 season)

Could have have had:

Instead of Ugoh: Sidney Rice (2nd)

Instead of Hughes:  Zach DeOssie (4th)

Summary and Grade:  B.  The jury is still out on this group, though it's safe to say that the pick of Session was a definite hit.  Gonzo was on his way to becoming a star before popping a knee.  No one knows what do with Ugoh, but in looking back over the draft, it's not clear that anyone else would have been a better pick.  The big blow of the draft was the early retirement of Quinn Pitcock after a nice rookie year.  Unless Gonzo goes on to have a long career, however, this could end up being a bit of a bust class.  There's still plenty of time for Gonzo and Session to become Pro Bowl players.  If Ugoh ever blossoms into a player, this could be a very productive class.  It's important to note that all 9 draftees made the team as well.  As a team becomes elite, it is harder for new players to break through.

2008

Total picks: 9

Made team: 9

Total Games Played: 166 (and counting Pollak, Wheeler, Tamme, Santi, Hart, Garcon)

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick:  Pierre Garcon

Worst pick: Marcus Howard

Starters drafted: Pollak (1 season), Wheeler (1 season), Garcon (1 season), Richard (1 season)

Could have have had:

Instead of Pollack: Steve Slaton (3rd)

Summary and Grade:  B. This should be lower but Garcon may turn out to be the single best pick in the entire draft.  At the time, people said the 2008 draft was weak, but in hindsight, it was SUPER weak.  Remarkably few of the players in the draft have managed to even earn starting jobs, let alone become stars. The jury is still out on Wheeler, who I thought improved as the season went along.  Garcon was a steal.  Pollak has been disappointing to say the least.  Looking at how bad this draft was, it's now clear why teams like the Colts and Patriots actively traded out of it both before and during the draft.  This was just a weak, weak crop of players.

2009

Total picks: 8

Made team: 6

Total Games Played: 62 (and counting-Brown, Moala, Powers, Collie, Painter, McAfee)

Total Pro Bowls:  0

Best pick:  Pat McAfee

Worst pick: Terrance Taylor

Starters drafted: Jerraud Powers, Pat McAfee

Could have have had:

Too early to judge.

Summary and Grade:  A.  It's way to early to effectively grade this draft, but considering the major role that Powers, Collie, McAfee had on a team that went to the Super Bowl, it's hard to argue that the 2009 was anything other than a success.  The Colts still have gotten very little from Brown and Moala, but that doesn't mean that both guys won't end up being good players.  All in all, the pick of McAfee alone gave this team a big lift in kickoff coverage.

Grading Polian Vol 2

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

This is part two of our look back at Bill Polian's drafts with the Colts.  Today we'll look at 2002-2005. These were the drafts that laid the foundation for the Super Bowl team.  Remember that when grading a draft, you have to consider not only the stars that were selected, but how many guys made the team and how many actual games the team got out of their draft.  Not ever guy can become an All Pro, but the ability to draft guys who contribute is important.

After I finish with the Colts (today or tomorrow), we'll look at the other four power teams of the decade (Ravens, Eagles, Steelers, and Pats).

2002

Total picks: 8

Made team: 7

Total Games Played for Colts: 286 (and counting)

Total Pro Bowls:  5 (Freeney-5)

Best pick:  Dwight Freeney

Worst pick:  Joe Jefferson

Starters drafted: Freeney (8 seasons), Tripplett (2 seasons), David Thornton (3 seasons)

Could have have had:

Instead of Tripplett:  Clinton Portis (2nd)

Instead of Joe Jefferson:  Brian Westbrook (3rd), Chris Hope (3rd)

Instead of Brian Allen:  Chester Taylor (6th)

Summary and grade:  A.  Considering how controversial the Freeney pick was, there's no other way to grade this draft.  Any time a team gets one of the three best players in its history at the 12th pick AND gets ripped for it, it's a good day.  Again, 7 of 8 players taken made the team.  The only bad picks were Jefferson and Allen both of whom were taken over better players at their positions (Hope and Taylor).  Overall, it's a hard draft to nitpick.  A true game changing rusher and two other other starters is a respectable haul from what was a top loaded draft.

2003

Total picks: 8

Made team: 8

Total Games Played for Colts: 378 (and counting: Clark, Mathis)

Total Pro Bowls:  4 (Clark 1, Mathis 2, June 1)

Best pick:  Robert Mathis

Worst pick: Donald Strickland

Starters drafted: Dallas Clark (7 seasons), Mike Doss (3 seasons), Donald Strickland (1 season), Steve Sciullo (1 season), Mathis (6 seasons), Cato June (3 seasons)

Could have have had:

Instead of Clark: Nambi Asomuga (1st round)

Instead of Doss:  Lance Briggs (3rd round), Jason Whitten (3rd round)

Instead of Strickland:  Terrance McGee (4th round), Asante Samuel (4th round)

Summary and Grade: A.  This draft should be an A+ simply because of Mathis in the 5th round and 6 starters taken, not to mention 378 total games played for the Colts.  However, as much as I love Dallas Clark, you have to think the Colts would have been a better team had they taken Asomuga in the first round and Whitten in the second.  Whitten is every bit the threat Clark is, and Asomuga is the best corner in football, and has been for several seasons now.  Still, this kind of draft is the motherload.  Three Pro Bowl caliber players (two selected late) and a slew of starters is a total haul for any team.

2004

Total picks: 9

Made team: 8

Total Games Played for Colts: 251 (and counting: Sanders)

Total Pro Bowls:  2 (Bob Sanders)

Best pick:  Bob Sanders

Worst pick: Kendyll Pope

Starters drafted: Bob Sanders (4 seasons), Gilbert Gardner (1 season), Jason David (3 seasons), Jake Scott (4 seasons)

Could have have had:

Instead of Hartsock: Chris Cooley (3rd round)

Instead of Gardner:  Matt Schuab (3rd round)

Instead of Kendyll Pope: Jerrad Allen (4th round)

Summary and Grade: B.  This was a solid draft that produced four starters, including Bob Sanders.  It was a top heavy draft, but the Colts largely maximized their picks.  Hartsock over Cooley was a bit of a whiff.  It's easy to understand why the Colts took Gardner over Schaub in third round, but that was obviously disastrous.  The only pick that I'm sure Polian would like back was Kendyll Pope over Jerad Allen in the fourth round, but I think a lot of people would like that pick back  Jim Sorgi was in this draft as well.  Overall, this draft gets down graded because despite producing a game changer, on the whole the Colts got fewer games out of it than any of the others, and because there were a couple of obvious misses.

2005

Total picks: 10

Made team: 8 (Vincent "Sweet Pea" Burns made the team but was injured and never played)

Total Games Played for Colts: 275 (and counting: Hayden, Hagler)

Total Pro Bowls: 0

Best pick:  Kelvin Hayden

Worst pick: Vincent Burns

Starters drafted: Marlin Jackson (2 seasons), Kelvin Hayden (3 seasons), Dylan Gandy (1 season), Tyjuan Hagler (1 season)

Could have have had:

Instead of Jackson: Lofa Tatupu (2nd), Nick Collins (2nd)

Instead of Hayden: Justin Tuck (3rd)

Instead of Burns: Kyle Orton (4th), Brandon Jacobs (4th), Jerome Mathis (4th), Marion Barber (4th)

Instead of Matt Giordano:  Trent Cole (5th)

Instead of David Rayner:  Jay Ratliff (7th)

Summary and grade: B-.  Not the strongest draft, in part because of Jackson's knee problems.  The real air ball was Vincent Burns, who was taken over several players who went on to significant NFL success.  The most frustrating part of the 2005 draft is that there were several excellent pass rushers available who were not selected.  The 2007 and 2009 seasons might have ended very differently if this draft had gone better.  Still, the Colts pulled down several starters and will likely post more than 300 total games played from this class.  It wasn't a bad draft so much as a missed opportunity.

 

Grading Polian Vol 1

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

With the NFL draft upcoming, it's time for a retrospective on Bill Polian's 12 drafts as GM of the Indianapolis Colts.  Today, we'll look at 1998-2001.  These were the Jim Mora Colts.

1998

Total picks: 7

Made team: 5

Total Games Played for Colts: 340 (and counting)

Total Pro Bowls:  10 (Manning-10)

Best pick:  Peyton Manning

Worst pick: EG Green

Starters drafted: Manning, Steve McKinney (four seasons), Jerome Pathon (two seasons)

Could have have had:

Instead of Pathon: Flozell Adams (2nd), Patrick Surtain (2nd) Samari Rolle (2nd).

Instead of Green:  Hines Ward (3rd round)

Instead of Aaron Taylor (7th): Ephrim Salaam (9 year starter at tackle for the Falcons).

Summary and gradeA+.  Obviously, hitting the Manning pick correctly was the key to the draft.  Pathon wasn't a great pick in the second round, but he did out perform all the WRs taken until Hines Ward went late in the third round.  Obviously Green over Ward is a pick Polian would like to have back.  McKinney was among the five or six best players in the final four rounds of the draft, so it's hard to argue with that pick.

1999

Total picks: 7

Made team: 5

Total Games Played for Colts: 398

Total Pro Bowls:  4 (James-4)

Best pick:  Edgerrin James

Worst pick: Paul Miranda

Starters drafted: James, Peterson (four seasons), Hunter Smith  (ten seasons), Brad Scioli (two seasons)

Could have have had:

Instead of Paul Miranda:  Aaron Smith (4th round), Roosevelt Colvin (4th round)

Summary and Grade: A+.  The only real black mark on this draft was the tragic death of Brandon Burlsworth.  The Colts' third round pick was killed in a car accident shortly after the draft.  This was a highly productive April for Polian and company.  The Colts pulled down three solid starters and a perennial all star in Edge James.  The only pick (besides Burlsworth) not make the team was 7th rounder Corey Terry who was the 4th from last player taken.  Ironically, the last player selected was Jim Finn, who would later join the Colts for several seasons.  When the only second guessing is over fourth round linebackers, you've had a good run.

2000

Total picks: 7

Made team: 5

Total Games Played: 305

Total Pro Bowls:  1 (Marcus Washington-1 with Washington Redskins)

Best pick:  Marcus Washington

Worst pick: Matt Johnson (round 5)

Starters drafted: Rob Morris (5 seasons), Washington (3 seasons), David Macklin (2 seasons), Josh Williams (3 seasons)

Could have have had:

Instead of Rob Morris:  Keith Bullock (first round), Mike Brown (second round)

Instead of Matt Johnson:  Shane Lechler (5th), Kabeer Gabaja-Biamila (5th round) Dante Hall (5th round)

Summary and Grade:  B. There was no huge breakout star for the Colts in this draft, but it's hard to argue with too many of the players selected.  This simply wasn't a great draft in general.  Morris never became a star in part because the Colts switched systems, and he was ill suited to play MLB.  In the end, he became a important part of the Super Bowl team.Washington was a very good player with the Colts and went on to play well in Washington.  Macklin was never very good, nor was Josh Williams, but both made the team and played heavily, so that is a form of value.  Even though there no huge stars in this draft, it's hard to look back in hindsight and second guess most of the picks.  Remember, the 2000 draft saw a kicker taken in the first round, and the best QB was Chad Pennington.  In another year, this would be a C or a C+ draft, but considering what there was to work with, the Colts did ok.

2001

Total picks: 7

Made team: 7

Total Games Played: 452 (and counting-Diem and Wayne)

Total Pro Bowls:  4 (Wayne-4)

Best pick:  Reggie Wayne

Worst pick: Idrees Bashir (second round)

Starters drafted: Wayne (9 seasons), Bashir (4 seasons), Diem (9 seasons), Demulling (3 seasons)

Could have have had:

Instead of Wayne:  Chad Johnson (2nd round)

Instead of Bashir: Ken Lucas (2nd round), Kris Jenkins (2nd round) Fred Smoot (2nd round), Shaun Rodgers (2nd round), Adrian Wilson (3rd round), Steve Smith (3rd round)

Instead of Jason Doering: TJ Houshmanzada (7th round)

Summary and Grade: B+.  This might seem low for a draft that included Reggie Wayne, but the 2001 draft was super deep.  Houshmanzada, Chad Johnson, and Steve Smith were all taken after Wayne.  You could argue that as long as the Colts were taking a receiver late in the first round, they had a pretty good chance of landing a good one.  Of course, they knew that too, which is why they traded down before drafting Wayne.  Wayne and Johnson have interesting parallels, but it's possible to argue that Smith was the best of the three.  The pick of Bashir is especially bad in hindsight simply because of the sheer number of very good players still available.  On the other hand, the Colts ended up keeping all seven players drafted, and the 2001 draft produced more games played for the Colts than any of the other drafts measured to date. Four starters is a good haul for any April.  All in all, it was a good draft in a good year to draft.

Completely Woofed

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

I don't know how I'm ever going to get over that one.

Losing the Super Bowl hurt, but there was a lot to mitigate it.  The Colts still have a great team.  They should be back next year.  They lost to a great team in a fluky game.  Whatever.  It stings, but it's not the end of the world.  At least the got there, proving that so many stupid theories about the Colts and the playoffs were just pointless blather.

This though...

Butler losing to Duke has sent psychic shock waves back through my past.  I've spent all morning walking around wondering how my life would be different if Keith Smart had missed his shot.  Growing up, I watched two VHS tapes more than any others.  One was Hoosiers (the McDonald's edition) and the other was my recording of the 1987 Final Four.  We bought our first VCR the afternoon before IU played UNLV.  I've watched those two tapes at least 50-100 times each.

Despite a lifetime of reinforcement that the last shot goes down, my eyes saw that ball hit the board, the rim, and the floor without ever touching net.  My eyes saw it, but my heart doesn't believe it still.

I saw the Duke kids celebrating (the fans, not the players), and I despised them.  I've never been anti-Duke until that moment.  I wanted to scream, "YOU FRAUDS!  That was the weakest national championship run of all time!  You are celebrating that the world was denied the greatest sports moment possibly of all time!"  It was all so wrong.  They were danced while the rest of the world mourned, and I will NEVER forget or forgive Duke for that.  Enjoy your title, South Bend Central.  Bastards.

Now, the next morning, I'm struggling for perspective.  I loved the words of Brad Stevens about the greatness of the accomplishment not depending on the bounce of the ball.  I wrote something frighteningly similar in my book (which now no one will ever believe I wrote a year ago...I'm glad a few of you out there have already read it and can vouch for me.  When it comes out soon, you all have to know that I haven't changed a word of it). Still, though part of me knows that the Bulldogs will be loaded for bear next year, I also know that the tournament is a crap shoot, and even if they have the best team in the country, there's no guarantee they'll win it all.

I'm still bitter about so many moments, especially the lack of an intentional foul call on the hard foul of Hayward in the final minutes.  The officials missed the call, that's fine, but what makes me irate was Clark Kellog's irrational defense of the officials.  "He was going for the ball!" he said repeatedly, while the replay kept showing that at no time did he ever come close to contacting the ball in the process of dragging Hayward to the ground.  Like I said, bad calls happen, but come on, Clark.  Don't lie to us when we can watch the same video.

Mostly it's all just bitterness and disappointment.  I talked to my brother this morning; he wouldn't answer the phone last night.  "I wasn't ready to get this heavily invested in anything so soon," he said.  I know how he feels.  One heartbreak I can deal with.  That's the nature of life.  This world is a cosmic riff on suffering and tragedy.  You can't win them all, as they say.

Still, I would have liked to have won this one.  On a list of the worst losses of my life, this is right there with the '95 playoffs and '05 playoffs, the Pacers losing game 7 to the Knicks in '94, IU losing in the '92 Final Four, and Pike High losing the county baseball championship 6-5 in 1995.  By the way, in that game, I grounded out with runners on second and third and two outs in the sixth.  We lost on a crazy line drive double play with two on and one out in the seventh.  That's probably the worst loss because I had my chance to do something about it. This is second or third worst though.

I don't know how I'm going to get over this one.

I hate Duke.

Written by Nate Dunlevy on .

I'm just saying.