I love the "find the Pagano in the pdf" part of this. BTW, my take on Richardson is that he is just too tentative. He looks like he's expecting to get hit and is indecisive in hitting the hole. Brown use to have that problem but this year, he's hitting the hole right away. It would be interested to see the time between handoff and getting to the line. If Richardson is taking extra time because he's dancing around, then it makes sense that he's being hit closer to the LOS.
Great job, Lou! These keep getting better!
Arizona worries me. That defensive front is dangerous. Peterson won't have to be stuck to Reggie Wayne all game and you can bet that Powers will play with a chip on his shoulder.
The Colts will need to break this small interception drought and take the ball away from Palmer.
Oh, and I love the cartoon of five-legged #34 running into a brick wall. ESPN had a table about how well Brown is doing by contrast on a YPC basis--hidden in the table is the fact that TR is hit (on average) 1.4 yards after the LOS while DB is hit, on average about 3.5 yards past the LOS. This means Brown is first hit by the D nearly a yard after TR has already been tackled (on average), so of course he's doing better.
Okay, I don't love the cartoon, because it's reality-based. But it is funny. In a grim sort of way.
Lou, thanks for the insight into TR's receiving catch rate and yardage surpassing a lot of other guys... combined. That's somewhat comforting. Not thrilled about 12's average pass distance shrinking the past few weeks, but having a reliable safety valve is a good way to keep chains moving, and keep the QB from eating too much turf on a regular basis.
Don't be fooled by AZ--their D is decent, but they have no run game (our Achilles heel) and their three wins were racked up against teams with a current combined record of 5-25. Yes, it's good to get wins, but take them with a grain of salt. Carson Palmer was once elite--he was Peyton Manning Jr before his playoff knee injury. Since then, not so much. In fact, over the past 4 seasons he's been average at best. Fitz is a steep challenge but our secondary is getting healthy this week, and Palmer should not do too much damage. If their run game doesn't do much damage I'll assume 20 pts can win this game. Maybe 17. Colts can manage that, but they are due for an offensive breakout. Maybe this week, maybe next week against Tenn at home. (After all, Delanie Walker might whup our butts, but he doesn't play defense;-) )
Who does these graphics? They're really sharp. Much, much more fun to look at than a big wall of text.
@Bobman1 You left out some fun stuff:
"Excluding rushes where he was hit in the backfield, Richardson is still averaging only 3.6 yards per rush with the Colts (league average 5.0). When he has been hit, he’s averaging 1.4 yards after contact per rush (Brown 2.4). "
"Brown has actually seen a higher percentage of eight-plus defenders in the box on his rushes than Richardson and has had more success in that situation."
Richardson has just been bad.
@Bobman1 Richardson might be putting up receiving stats, but he's 43rd in DVOA for qualifying RBs. The coaches need to find a way to maximize what little productivity Richardson is giving us.
By way of example, I just checked FO's Quick reads and Palmer's 419 yard/2 TD passing game was ranked behind Luck's more modest 232/0 game (largely due to Luck's TD run). Opponent strength/weakness matters. If we can only get off to a moderately fast start....
@Brent_Dragoo The fantastic Mr. Lou Pin.