Advanced NFL Stats: Texans punt was a gift

Advanced NFL Stats broke down some kicking decisions this week and notes one in particular didn't look like a bad decision at the time:

Speaking of the Thursday night game...HOU, up by a point, kicks a FG on 4th and 2 from the IND 13 with 2 min to play. What's the big deal, you ask? It's Dan Orlovsky vs. one of the league's very best defenses. The decision was a 0.09 WP gift, and allowed IND to drive for the game winning TD. 

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