How often do Hall of Fame quarterbacks lead their teams to the playoffs?
For the following chart, I compared all the Hall of Fame quarterbacks to begin their careers after the start of the Super Bowl era. I've also included the six current quarterbacks most likely to wind up in Canton: Manning, Brady, Favre, Warner, Roethlisberger, and Brees. The first three are locks. I would rate Warner's election as probable, and Roethlisberger and Brees will both have strong cases.
|Total Seasons||Seasons Starting||Total Playoffs||Playoffs Starting||% as Starter|
*Bob Griese played in 6 games in 1972. I did not count him as the primary QB. Bradshaw played 8 games in the 1974 seasons, and I counted him as the primary QB. Montana played 7 games in 1980. I did NOT count him as the primary starter. Warren Moon played 8 games (as did Brad Johnson) in 1996. I did not count him as the primary starter, as Vikings played better with Johnson.
Overall, having a Hall of Fame caliber quarterback gives your team about a 2 out of 3 chance of making the playoffs in any given year. These 17 quarterbacks have been on the winning team in the Super Bowl 27 times out of 45 Super Bowls (not double counting Young/Montana), that's good for 60%.