With three weeks left, the Colts hold a lead in the strength of schedule tiebreaker in the event they win two games and wind up tied with the Rams and Vikings for the worst record in football.
As of now, the strength of schedules look like this (calculated for the entire season's schedule, worst record wins):
Colts: 115-96 (.545)
Vikings: 119-90 (.569)
Rams: 121-87 (.581)
Should the Colts lose on Sunday, they could actually mathematically clinch the top pick if enough of the games below swing their way. There are very few non-division games left in the final two weeks, so there will be little movement. By my count, after this week the most games the Vikings can on Indianapolis the rest of the season is 8. The most the Rams can gain is 6. This is in part because any Indianapolis win actually helps their S.o.S number by hanging a loss on a divisional opponent.
Here's who to root for.
Bengals at Rams
Saints at Vikings
Obviously, Indy is rooting for the Rams and Vikes to win. Wins by both and a loss by Indy seals the first pick. Wins by the Rams and Vikes in the final weeks all but locks up the spot.
Panthers at Texans
Indy plays Houston twice, so go Panthers.
Packers at Chiefs
Cowboys at Bucaneers
Browns at Cardinals
Patriots at Broncos
Ravens at Chargers
Steelers at 49ers
Root against the teams the Colts played.
Giants at Redskins
Vikes and Rams both played the Redskins
Seahawks at Bears
Rams played Seattle; Vikes played Chicago. Vikes are closer.
Lions at Raiders
Vikes played both teams, but play Detroit twice
Jets at Eagles
Rams played the Eagles